Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 167.197925 194.119719 225.302740 264.404688 312.566825 370.528641 4.464504e+02
2025-07-06 129.809017 162.700091 204.825262 263.870553 346.387099 460.617998 6.363493e+02
2025-07-13 115.401693 152.655891 203.944236 282.087084 402.652713 589.990723 9.219163e+02
2025-07-20 106.276490 146.828761 206.060501 302.901086 465.866311 747.366052 1.319415e+03
2025-07-27 95.550573 136.428973 198.911367 306.904452 501.922432 870.298808 1.716064e+03
2025-08-03 88.037528 129.452184 195.403649 315.390988 547.056931 1024.799654 2.268852e+03
2025-08-10 80.543402 121.323516 188.507676 316.147355 577.271353 1159.703074 2.866648e+03
2025-08-17 74.957023 115.485829 184.430915 320.978943 616.665368 1330.717495 3.703622e+03
2025-08-24 69.224468 108.667146 177.585042 318.981145 640.613948 1474.333849 4.590673e+03
2025-08-31 64.544752 103.108546 172.210839 318.843122 668.750595 1642.344930 5.759352e+03
2025-09-07 61.000891 99.149168 169.246068 323.139861 708.941147 1866.050806 7.480795e+03
2025-09-14 55.698881 91.494980 158.293751 308.084031 695.478276 1915.145405 8.411132e+03
2025-09-21 51.926648 86.699703 153.159134 307.206067 725.823128 2152.190828 1.106159e+04
2025-09-28 48.502041 82.268225 148.322668 306.515219 758.335771 2429.391575 1.488251e+04
2025-10-05 47.465721 82.253999 152.512158 328.597349 868.470090 3123.042234 2.548647e+04
2025-10-12 46.664142 82.584888 157.458596 353.922774 1002.274040 4093.118682 4.769408e+04
2025-10-19 44.401260 79.718620 154.953687 358.805037 1067.970274 4801.361811 7.578637e+04
2025-10-26 42.708253 77.843112 154.425715 369.166331 1160.473583 5823.578535 1.361200e+05
2025-11-02 40.583390 74.850106 150.904954 370.090547 1216.592981 6706.010225 2.299061e+05
2025-11-09 38.930505 72.707225 149.134848 375.997238 1298.508076 7972.062266 4.553514e+05
2025-11-16 36.971967 69.725144 144.961608 373.554291 1342.414509 9021.111700 8.538101e+05
2025-11-23 35.294264 67.218954 141.681337 373.385545 1398.692205 10365.738514 1.892672e+06
2025-11-30 34.005221 65.469211 140.108338 378.640612 1487.222476 12382.889815 6.196695e+06